Arizona State vs Illinois 9/17/2011

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arizona State winning 45% of simulations, and Illinois 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arizona State commits fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Illinois wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brock Osweiler is averaging 297 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (44% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Jason Ford is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL +1

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